AUSTRALIA’S aged care sector has this week united under one banner to demand that big-picture reform follow the recommendations of the Royal Commission into Aged Care Quality and Safety later this month.
Launching the ‘It’s Time to Care About Aged Care’ campaign, the new Australian Aged Care Collaboration (AACC) alliance is targeting key marginal electorates where more than 750,000 older Australians live, in an attempt to encourage the national Parliament to address the sector’s many challenges.
The AACC believes an overhaul of the design, objectives, regulation and resourcing of aged care is urgently required if Australia is to deliver the care and services older people need and deserve now and into the future.
Successive federal governments over the past two decades have failed to act on more than 20 independent reports highlighting the need for major reform.
The problem is clear. Australia devotes less than half of what comparable countries do to aged care (1.2% vs 2.5% of GDP). Denmark and Sweden allocate more than 4% of GDP.
The AACC represents more than 1,000 organisations who deliver 70% of government-subsidised aged care services to 1.3 million Australians, either in their own homes or in communal residential settings.
It includes not-for-profit providers, primarily church and other charity organisations, and a number of private operators, as a new single industry voice delivering quality care for older Australians.
The problem
- Australia’s aged care system is in urgent need of transformation, with 16,000 vulnerable Australians dying in 2017-18 while waiting for a government-subsidised support package in their own home.
- An additional 100,000 people are waiting for home support at their approved level – with those in need of the highest-level packages typically waiting at least 12 months.
- Separately, a further 88,000 places will be required in communal Residential Aged Care over the next 10 years, at a cost of $55 billion.
- As a result, under-resourced aged care homes were described as in an ‘impossible situation’ by Counsel Assisting the Royal Commission – and are struggling to maintain standards and staffing, whilst fighting to keep their doors open.
AACC representatives Sean Rooney and Patricia Sparrow said more than 20 government aged-care reviews in 20 years had failed to fix the inadequate system.
“After 20 years of missed opportunities, Australia cannot let the release of the final Royal Commission
report later this month pass without taking real action,” Ms Sparrow said.
“Australia currently spends about half of what other comparable countries do on looking after their
most vulnerable older citizens.
“Enough is enough – Australia should no longer accept the drip-feed of piecemeal rescue packages and ad-hoc changes.”
Mr Rooney said the residential aged care sector was in crisis with 64% of homes operating at a loss in 2020, almost double the medium-term average of 33%.
“Under-resourcing of the aged care system has been growing for a long time, and is not the fault of any one government or Parliament,” he said.
“But it is the responsibility of all Parliamentarians to recognise the injustice and inequity of maintaining a system the Royal Commission described as ‘a shocking tale of neglect’.”
The campaign
An ‘It’s Time to Care About Aged Care’ campaign advertisement helps explain the challenges of the current system.
An additional ‘It’s Time to Care About Aged Care’ report identifies for the first time the 30 members of the 151-member Federal Parliament who represent the ‘oldest’ Australian communities by age, and who have the greatest obligation to fix the system.
Of these seats, 14 are marginal, and in some cases are held by only a few hundred votes. They contain 755,045 voters aged over 55, an extraordinarily concentrated voting block.
Critical decision makers on both sides of politics represent these older communities. For example, the current Minister for Aged Care Greg Hunt holds Australia’s eighth ‘oldest’ electorate, Flinders, in Melbourne, with 50.7% of voters aged over 55.
Similarly, the Opposition’s former Minister for Aged Care Justine Elliott holds the sixth ‘oldest’ electorate in Australia, Richmond, on the NSW north coast, with 51.4% of voters aged over 55 years old.
“The 30 Members of Parliament who represent Australia’s ‘oldest’ electorates have the greatest opportunity to represent the needs of their communities, so that older Australians are finally given the respect, resources and support they deserve,” Mr Rooney said.
“The Australian community looks to these elected officials to stand up for them in the national debate and to help influence positive outcomes on behalf of their constituents.
“These MPs have the opportunity to truly achieve something great – and avoid the mistakes of the past
– by creating a sustainable and equitable aged care system that will stand the test of time.”
The Australian Electoral Commission defines a seat as marginal if it would change hands with a swing under 6%. Given the increasing volatility in the electorate, demonstrated by seats changing hands in recent elections with double digit swings, any seat with less than a 10% margin could now be considered vulnerable.
Table 1: 14 marginal seats among the 30 ‘oldest’ electorates in the Australian Parliament
Rank of oldest | Electorate | Total over 55 | Total voters | % over age 55 | Party | MP | AEC margin | State | |
2 | Gilmore | 67,487 | 124,104 | 54.4% | Labor | Fiona Phillips | 2.6% | Marginal | NSW- regional |
5 | Cowper | 65,019 | 125,827 | 51.7% | National | Pat Conaghan | 6.8% | Marginal | NSW- regional |
6 | Richmond | 60,099 | 116,862 | 51.4% | Labor | Justine Elliot | 4.1% | Marginal | NSW- regional |
7 | Page | 61,371 | 119,791 | 51.2% | National | Kevin Hogan | 9.5% | Marginal | NSW- regional |
8 | Flinders | 57,240 | 112,895 | 50.7% | Liberal | Greg Hunt | 5.6% | Marginal | VIC- metro |
9 | Mayo | 61,987 | 123,841 | 50.1% | Centre Alliance | Rebekha Sharkie | 5.1% | Marginal | SA- regional |
14 | Monash | 56,963 | 116,933 | 48.7% | Liberal | Russell Broadbent | 7.4% | Marginal | VIC- regional |
15 | Indi | 55,623 | 114,247 | 48.7% | Independe nt | Helen Haines | 1.4% | Marginal | VIC- regional |
16 | Braddon | 38,707 | 80,472 | 48.1% | Liberal | Gavin Pearce | 3.1% | Marginal | TAS- regional |
18 | Lyons | 39,229 | 82,101 | 47.8% | Labor | Brian Mitchell | 5.2% | Marginal | TAS-regional |
23 | Robertson | 52,038 | 111,827 | 46.5% | Liberal | Lucy Wicks | 4.2% | Marginal | NSW- regional |
28 | Bass | 35,358 | 77,431 | 45.7% | Liberal | Bridget Archer | 0.4% | Marginal | TAS- regional |
29 | Eden- Monaro | 52,198 | 114,468 | 45.6% | Labor | Kristy McBain | 0.9% | Marginal | NSW- regional |
30 | Shortland | 51,726 | 114,320 | 45.2% | Labor | Pat Conroy | 4.5% | Marginal | NSW- regional |
Table 2: Number of marginal seats in Australia’s 30 ‘oldest’ electorates
PARTY | NUMBER OF MARGINAL SEATS IN AUSTRALIA’S 30 OLDEST ELECTORATES |
Liberal Party of Australia | 5 |
Australian Labor Party | 5 |
The Nationals | 2 |
Independent/minor party | 2 |
TOTAL | 14 |
Table 3: Breakdown of top five ‘oldest’ seats in each state
Electorate | 55+ | Total voters | % over age 55 | Party | MP | AEC margin | Status | State | |
NSW | |||||||||
1 | Lyne | 67,807 | 119,739 | 56.6% | National | David Gillespie | 15.2% | Safe | Regional |
2 | Gilmore | 67,487 | 124,104 | 54.4% | Labor | Fiona Phillips | 2.6% | Marginal | Regional |
5 | Cowper | 65,019 | 125,827 | 51.7% | National | Pat Conaghan | 6.8% | Marginal | Regional |
6 | Richmond | 60,099 | 116,862 | 51.4% | Labor | Justine Elliot | 4.1% | Marginal | Regional |
7 | Page | 61,371 | 119,791 | 51.2% | National | Kevin Hogan | 9.5% | Marginal | Regional |
VIC | |||||||||
8 | Flinders | 57,240 | 112,895 | 50.7% | Liberal | Greg Hunt | 5.6% | Marginal | Metro |
12 | Mallee | 56,331 | 114,049 | 49.4% | National | Anne Webster | 16.2% | Safe | Regional |
13 | Gippsland | 55,359 | 112,457 | 49.2% | National | Darren Chester | 16.7% | Safe | Regional |
14 | Monash | 56,963 | 116,933 | 48.7% | Liberal | Russell Broadbent | 7.4% | Marginal | Regional |
15 | Indi | 55,623 | 114,247 | 48.7% | Independent | Helen Haines | 1.4% | Marginal | Regional |
QLD | |||||||||
3 | Hinkler | 60,182 | 111,223 | 54.1% | Lib/National | Keith Pitt | 14.5% | Safe | Regional |
4 | Wide Bay | 59,186 | 111,115 | 53.3% | Lib/National | Llew O’Brien | 13.2% | Safe | Regional |
22 | Maranoa | 49,529 | 106,260 | 46.6% | Lib/National | David Littleproud | 22.5% | Safe | Regional |
26 | Fisher | 54,161 | 118,296 | 45.8% | Lib/National | Andrew Wallace | 12.7% | Safe | Metro |
32 | Fairfax | 52,948 | 117,985 | 44.9% | Lib/National | Ted O’Brien | 13.4% | Safe | Regional |
WA | |||||||||
24 | O’Connor | 47,152 | 102,346 | 46.1% | Liberal | Rick Wilson | 14.5% | Safe | Regional |
27 | Canning | 50,840 | 111,074 | 45.8% | Liberal | Andrew Hastie | 11.6% | Safe | Metro |
36 | Tangney | 42,237 | 95,223 | 44.4% | Liberal | Ben Morton | 11.5% | Safe | Metro |
38 | Forrest | 47,834 | 108,193 | 44.2% | Liberal | Nola Marino | 14.6% | Safe | Regional |
60 | Moore | 42,569 | 102,731 | 41.4% | Liberal | Ian Goodenough | 11.7% | Safe | Metro |
SA | |||||||||
9 | Mayo | 61,987 | 123,841 | 50.1% | Centre Alliance | Rebekha Sharkie | 5.1% | Marginal | Regional |
10 | Barker | 59,069 | 118,877 | 49.7% | Liberal | Tony Pasin | 18.9% | Safe | Regional |
11 | Grey | 59,905 | 120,566 | 49.7% | Liberal | Rowan Ramsey | 13.3% | Safe | Regional |
33 | Boothby | 56,156 | 125,286 | 44.8% | Liberal | Nicolle Flint | 1.4% | Marginal | Metro |
37 | Sturt | 55,484 | 125,362 | 44.3% | Liberal | James Stevens | 6.9% | Marginal | Metro |
Table 3: Breakdown of top five ‘oldest’ seats in each state (cont)
Electorate | 55+ | Total voters | % over age 55 | Party | MP | AEC margin | Status | State | |
TAS | |||||||||
16 | Braddon | 38,707 | 80,472 | 48.1% | Liberal | Gavin Pearce | 3.1% | Marginal | Regional |
18 | Lyons | 39,229 | 82,101 | 47.8% | Labor | Brian Mitchell | 5.2% | Marginal | Regional |
25 | Franklin | 35,582 | 77,298 | 46.0% | Labor | Julie Collins | 12.2% | Safe | Metro |
28 | Bass | 35,358 | 77,431 | 45.7% | Liberal | Bridget Archer | 0.4% | Marginal | Regional |
48 | Clark | 31,427 | 73,315 | 42.9% | Independent | Andrew Wilkie | 22.1% | Safe | Metro |
The future
More than 4.1 million Australians, or almost 16% of the population, are currently aged over 65. By 2057, that will rise to 8.8 million, or 22% of the population, and by 2097 it will reach 12.8 million people, or one in four Australians.
“The challenges for aged care are only going to grow in coming years, as the large Baby Boomer generation requires more support,” Ms Sparrow said.
Types of government-subsidised aged care
Broadly speaking, Australians access government-subsidised aged care services in three different settings:
- Own home – for people with low care needs (Commonwealth Home Support Program CHSP) –
840,000 people.
- Own home – for people with greater care needs (Home Care Package Program) – 174,000 people.
- Communal care homes – where residents generally receive nursing and personal care 24 hours per day, either on a permanent basis or as short-term respite stays (Residential Aged Care Homes) – 244,000 people.
Spending on aged care
- Total expenditure on aged care in Australia in 2019-20 reached about $26 billion.
- The Australian Government spent $21 billion, with most of the remainder paid directly by consumers.
Own home
- About 16,000 Australians have died while waiting for a home care support package.
- An additional 100,000 people are waiting for home support at their approved level – with people in need of the highest-level packages typically waiting at least 12 months.
Communal residential aged care
- Australia’s financing of aged care is highly skewed towards residential aged care, with 6.4% of over 65s in Australia living in these communal homes, compared with an OECD average of 3.6%.
- Approximately 63% of all government aged care funding, or $13.5 billion, is spent on communal residential aged care.
- A further 88,000 places will be required in communal Residential Aged Care over the next 10 years, at a cost of $55 billion.
Staffing
- 78,000 extra workers are needed in the next 10 years to deal with the country’s ageing population.
These figures may explain why the Royal Commission into Aged Care Quality and Safety found that Australians strongly support increased funding to ensure access to high-quality care in the future.

image: Vlada Karpovich from pexels
Ryan Fritz
Ryan Fritz started The Advocate in 2014 to provide not-for-profits and charities another media platform to tell their worthwhile hard news stories and opinion pieces effortlessly. In 2020, Ryan formed a team of volunteer journalists to help spread even more high-quality stories from the third sector. He also has over 10 years experience as a media and communications professional for not-for-profits and charities and currently works at Redkite, a childhood cancer charity.